In the aftermath of Celtic's 1-1 draw with Club Brugge on Wednesday night (November 27), we reported on the likelihood of Celtic reaching the Champions League last 16 play-off.

As per Opta Stats, via the Scotland's Coefficient X account (formerly Twitter), Celtic's chances of getting there as they stand – with eight points and three matches remaining – sit at a likelihood of 13%.

Hitting nine points ups their chances to 42%, so reckons Opta, while accruing 10 points would increase their chances to 94% respectively.

But as per Football Meets Data, via the Everything Celtic X account, the chances of Celtic reaching the play-offs is much higher.

Football Meets Data currently has Celtic with an overall likelihood of 87%, with one more win (and thus 11 points), lifting the Parkhead side to a 99.8% likelihood of reaching the next stage.

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As is always the case, the numbers in football can only explain so much – but no matter who's closer to the truth between Football Meets Data and Opta, Celtic have their work cut out for them in the coming weeks and months.

Getting anything from Dinamo Zagreb away next month puts them in a great position to reach the play-offs, but it's ultimately not the end of the world if they lose on the road.

Young Boys at Celtic Park towards the end of January has ultimately become a must-win for Brendan Rodgers and his players, and given the home advantage and calibre of the opponent, this was likely always the case.

Doing so should see Celtic enter their eighth and final matchday against Aston Villa at Villa Park with progression already secured.

Given the fact Villa themselves are already sitting on 10 points, it's likely the same will apply to the Premier League outfit by then too.